Analysis of Alaska's Permanent Fund Dividend examined whether sudden cash infusions trigger risky behaviors leading to trauma or death. Researchers tracked 36,556 traumatic injuries and 43,170 deaths across Alaska hospitals from 2009-2019, comparing injury rates in the days immediately following the annual $1,500 per person disbursement against baseline periods. The interrupted time series analysis found no statistical increase in emergency department visits, hospitalizations, or mortality following payment distribution days. This finding challenges widespread assumptions about cash transfer programs and their potential to fund harmful behaviors like excessive alcohol consumption, drug use, or reckless activities. The research adds crucial evidence to policy debates around universal basic income and direct cash assistance programs. While critics often argue that unconditional cash payments enable dangerous choices, this decade-long natural experiment suggests such concerns may be unfounded. The Alaska model represents one of the few large-scale, long-term cash transfer programs in developed nations, making these results particularly relevant as governments worldwide consider similar poverty alleviation strategies. The absence of trauma spikes suggests recipients generally make responsible decisions with windfall payments, supporting broader implementation of direct cash interventions.
Alaska's Annual $1,500 Cash Payments Show No Rise in Injuries or Deaths
📄 Based on research published in American journal of epidemiology
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